Welcome

The Estimate, a newsletter published since 1989, has been on hiatus while it converts to an online publication. In the meantime, this blog is intended to provide analysis to our loyal subscribers, who will receive subscriptions when we are up and running. Meanwhile you may still access the old archive here, and we'll be reporting more and more frequently on our progress.

Watch this space for more news, and please check out the poll of subscribers (below and right), which may add questions as time goes on.

Wednesday, September 19, 2007

Dayr al-Zor: Watch this space

Estimate readers will naturally expect an assessment of what, exactly, happened in the Dayr al-Zor area of Syria on September 6. The noise-to-signal ratio on this one is very high and the honest answer is: we don't know. But the sheer amount of obfuscation going on suggests this is deserving of attention. A longer treatment is coming soon.

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